Saturday, December 5, 2009

AP: Nov Job Losses Decrease Because There Are Fewer Jobs To Lose, But We Won't Mention That Last Part

Good news everyone! We lost only 11,000 jobs in November, and unemployment is now down to an obscenely low 10%, the lowest in 2 months! We're saved! Tomorrow, it's all unicorns and rainbows! But wait - there's more to this story. For one, jobs losses should be decreasing because their are simply fewer jobs to lose! Second, it;s the holiday season, so there is temporary unemployment available through Christmas that will disappear about as fast as a piss puddle in the dessert come January. But ignore those facts and celebrate not created buts, but instead fewer job losses! But wait, didn't Obama argue that the stimulus must be passed to avoid double-digit unemployment? Why yes! Yes he did!

How's that stimulus working out for you all? Here is what has been happening with Biden's 3-letter word this year:
January US jobs lost: 598,000 jobs
February US jobs lost: 706,000 jobs
March US jobs lost: 742,000 jobs
April US jobs lost: 545,000 jobs
May US jobs lost: 345,000 jobs
June US jobs lost: 467,000 jobs
July US jobs lost: 247,000 jobs
August US jobs lost: 216,000 jobs
September US jobs lost: 263,000 jobs
October US jobs lost: 190,000 jobs
November US jobs lost: 11,000 jobs

Total US jobs lost under Obama: 4,330,000 jobs
4.33 million fewer jobs to lose. Thus why be surprised that there are lessjob losses as time goes on? Remember that the stimulus package was supposed to stop the unemployment rate at 8%! A crisis could become a calamity? Remember that? Here's how that looks:

Note that the blue lines are the numbers that Obama's team came up with. So the actual unemployment rate is not only worse that what would happen with porkulus, but even worse than was predicted without it. Yet with all of the above, the AP trots out a positive story regarding the economy much like al quaeda trots out a guy in an orange jump suit (via The Detroit News): November jobless rate falls to 10 percent
The unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 10 percent in November as employers cut the smallest number of jobs since the recession began. The better-than-expected job figures are a rare note of encouraging news for the labor market.
It's not until the 5th paragraph that you get this:
If part-time workers who want full time jobs and laid off workers who have given up looking for work are included, the so-called underemployment rate also fell, to 17.2 percent from 17.5 percent in October.
And this in the 11th paragraph:
Temporary help services added 52,000 jobs
TEMPORARY help. Holiday! What's not to expect here? In addition to the above, government employment increased by 7,000. No recession there! And in the 14th paragraph this:
The rate also dropped because fewer people are looking for work. The size of the labor force, which includes the employed and those actively searching for jobs, fell by nearly 100,000, the third straight decline. That indicates more of the unemployed are giving up on looking for work.
Important stuff to be buried so deep in an article, no? Want more of the real story? Michigan taxes too much has this: Job Numbers

Employment, Hours, and Earnings from the Current Employment Statistics survey (National)

Seasonally Adjusted
Super Sector:  Total nonfarm
Industry:      Total nonfarm
NAICS Code:    N/A
Data Type:     ALL EMPLOYEES, IN THOUSANDS
Year
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Annual
1999
127480
127890
127996
128372
128585
128851
129142
129334
129536
129944
130238
130532

2000
130781
130902
131374
131660
131885
131839
132002
132005
132127
132116
132347
132485

2001
132469
132530
132500
132219
132175
132047
131922
131762
131518
131193
130901
130723

2002
130591
130444
130420
130335
130328
130373
130276
130260
130205
130331
130339
130183

2003
130266
130108
129896
129847
129841
129839
129864
129822
129925
130128
130146
130270

2004
130420
130463
130801
131051
131361
131442
131489
131610
131770
132121
132185
132317

2005
132499
132720
132841
133153
133365
133624
133946
134136
134223
134321
134701
134861

2006
135155
135429
135711
135862
135886
135956
136142
136291
136438
136520
136781
137000

2007
137180
137216
137400
137435
137591
137645
137580
137552
137652
137817
138032
138152

2008
138080
137936
137814
137654
137517
137356
137228
137053
136732
136352
135755
135074

2009
134333
133652
133000
132481
132178
131715
131411
131257
131118
131007(P)
130996(P)

Note that we are now where we were before - 10 years ago!

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