I've mentioned this ad infinitum in this blog especially in cases when claims are made that plug-in hybrid vehicles get 100 mpg by methods that would make accountants at Enron proud, like not counting the energy it took to fully charge those battery packs that mostly came from coal. (Another Plug-In Hybrid False Mileage/Energy Savings Claim) In that prior recent post (there are many more) here's how the numbers scam works: let's say you have a car that gets 25 miles to a gallon. You convert it into a hybrid vehicle by installing some electric motors in the wheel hub that are tied to batteries. Let's say those batteries are big enough to get you 25 miles worth of juice. Once it's gone, the engine kicks in. So your 50 mile trip used only 1 gallon of gasoline, and the claim is that you now have a 50 mile per gallon car! Viola! Except that you still only have a 25 mpg car, and that first 25 miles came from electricity derived from mostly likely coal! The efficiency of that process is even worse than if you had just burned gasoline.The electric-drive Chevrolet Volt is expected to get a rating of at least 230 miles per gallon in city driving, General Motors Co. announced this morning.
The results come as GM pushes to bring the new technology to market in late next year. Later this week, the company is officially announcing its battery assembly pack plant in Brownstown Township.A mysterious, viral marketing campaign with the numbers “230” and today’s date had created speculation on the Internet that the day’s news conference could include an announcement about how many miles per gallon the electric drive Chevrolet Volt would get. In the image, the zero is a smiling electric outlet.
Henderson said the Volt will use 25 kilowatt hours per 100 miles.
The m.p.g. estimates are calculated under the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s draft procedure for plug-in electric vehicles. Henderson added that GM believes it will also get triple digit m.p.g. for a combination of city and highway driving. He didn’t give a highway m.p.g.
“From the data we’ve seen, most drivers could operate purely on grid electricity in a Chevy Volt,” Henderson said in a statement. “A car that gets more than 100 miles per gallon is a significant step in the reinvention of the auto industry and GM is and will continue to be a leader in that reinvention."
Mileage ratings are tricky to calculate with the Volt. In theory, some drivers would burn no gas for extended periods of time.
What is basically happening with these ratings is that it is being gamed within the confines of the rule book. The energy it took to charge the battery in the first place is either not taken into account, or not accounted for correctly. I wrote about this before with the claim of a doubling of fuel mileage by going plug-in hybrid, but it's worth repeating here. It won't really double the cars mileage. It will just offset some gasoline with coal. Not the best trade-off in my opinion but there it is. Converting a car to hybrid may in fact save 120 million gallons of fuel per day, but that will come at the cost of using a whole lot of coal. Let's do a bit of math. Gasoline weighs 8 lb per gallon and has an energy content of 47 MJ/kg. Coal is at 30 MJ/kg. To get the same amount of electrical energy as that in 120 million gallons of gasoline, it would take about 1,840 million pounds of coal assuming a power plant efficiency of 33%! That is nearly 1 million tons of coal! Extra! That is, beyond what we are using now!
In addition, has anyone considered the enhanced electric bill one would get when plugging your car in every night? It is not only a bad idea from an environmental standpoint, it will cost more money, and has no chance of ever paying for itself. So there's the short of it...
UPDATE: From AutoBlog via Instapundit: How did GM arrive at 230 mpg for the 2011 Chevrolet Volt?
Without access to the actual method that the EPA is tentatively going to apply to plug-in vehicles (we have requests for clarification out to the EPA), all that GM's Dave Darovitz would tell us is that the number is "based on city cycles and we're not really talking in detail yet." Instead, the press release says that:What they are likely not taking into account is that the electricity is generated by burning coal. the plant is roughly 33% efficient, which isn't being taken into account. Nor is the energy required to obtain the coal, process and transport it. My problem isn't in the cost analysis, but rather the claim on an equivalent miles per gallon gasoline basis. It is not grounded in science whatsoever.Frank Weber, vehicle chief engineer for the Volt, told AutoblogGreen that the EPA's method takes into account the two extremes: People who plug in every chance they get and therefore barely ever need gasoline and people who never plug in (if you're buying a Volt and never plug it in, we'd like to offer you a bridge or two. Call us). By figuring out what the average driver will do with the Volt, the EPA has declared that 230 mpg is reasonable.Under the new methodology being developed, EPA weights plug-in electric vehicles as traveling more city miles than highway miles on only electricity. The EPA methodology uses kilowatt hours per 100 miles traveled to define the electrical efficiency of plug-ins. Applying EPA's methodology, GM expects the Volt to consume as little as 25 kilowatt hours per 100 miles in city driving. At the U.S. average cost of electricity (approximately 11 cents per kWh), a typical Volt driver would pay about $2.75 for electricity to travel 100 miles, or less than 3 cents per mile.
Previously:
Another Plug-In Hybrid False Mileage/Energy Savings Claim
Government report: electric cars won’t reduce carbon emissions and likely create more
UNTRUE! - Enron Accounting on the 100 mpg Hummer H3





I think it is time for the EPA to give out multiple city ratings for fuel economy.
ReplyDeleteOne for fully charge batteries that are recharged every 50 miles.
One for fully charged batteries that are recharged every 200 miles.
I think if they just accounted for all of the energy on an apples-to-apples basis, it would be fine. But they don't, thus my problem with the absurd numbers.
ReplyDeleteOh, and never mind the fact all these plug-in cars are going to result in needing additional electrical generating plants. Power plants take 10-12 years to build, on average, from conception to completion.
ReplyDeleteIn Michigan's case, none are in process. And Gov. Granholm doesn't want anyone thinking coal. Oh, and the existing plants are about maxed out.
Fermi 3 is in process, but that's way off for now. Once approved, it will take an additionl 6 years to build.
ReplyDeleteThere are inaccuracies in this blog and in the comments. The blog said.... "and that first 25 miles came from electricity derived from mostly likely coal! The efficiency of that process is even worse than if you had just burned gasoline."
ReplyDeleteThen you do some wild energy math!! You gave gas engines 100% efficiency and coal power plants 33% efficiency!!! It's the other way around and then some. Coal fired plants are nearly 90% efficient, and gas engines are about 20%... run your numbers again.
http://www.autobloggreen.com/2009/07/24/study-even-with-electricity-from-coal-electric-vehilces-beat-g/
In addition, there are several academic papers that conclude the current electric grid can handle a few million plug in hybrids at night time. Just using the "idle waste" during off peak hours.
I did some research and discussed the 230 mpg rating with some of my friends that work at GM on hybrids.
ReplyDeleteThe 230 mpg number is actually an Equivalent MPG based upon the cost of electricity. It is from the working proposal from the EPA on how to rate PHEV.
The Volt did a normal city cycle for the EPA to calculate fuel economy. The city cycle is about 26 miles, so the Volt used zero gas. So the calculation is based upon the cost of electricity to charge the battery, then converting that into equivalent gas and you get an effective MPG rating.
The hugely fuzzy math is required by law, since GM can only use the EPA values for MPG. So, the Volt goes 40 miles on 10 kWh of power. It would take 11 kWh to re-charge the Volt, for an EPA specified cost of $0.55. Yes, the EPA states that electricity is 5 cents per kWh. Odd, in Oakland County its 10.
So, when you do the math you find out that to get a 230 mpg rating, the EPA specifies that gas cost $3.16 per gallon.
So, 5 cent electricity and $3.16 gas prices are required for the Volt to get 230 mpg.
If you go to 10 cent electricity and the national average of $2.64 for gasoline the Volt gets an effective MPG of 96.
Of course, if the engine in the Volt turns on, that effective MPG would quickly decrease.
The EPA has a long way to go on how to rate PHEV.
Come on. Let's get the story straight here. The electric plug in car is a clear plus even with coal as the source.
ReplyDeleteWho cares if the 230 mpg is a marketing gimmick. The point is that this will allow competition of different fuel types and in time it will help the US wean itself from oil.
Ideally it would be pure electric but an electric-oil car may be the way to go for now.
Why a plus? If you do the math, the efficiency is even worse than a gasoline engine? The electrical infrastructure would have to increase 5-fold to meet the energy demands of the transportation sector. And its not electric-oil. It's really coal-oil in the big picture.
ReplyDeleteIt won't happen all at once. Natural gas can be used as demand increases. Cars can help with the smart grid.
ReplyDeleteLet's do the efficiency thing right. Your average car on the road is certainly not getting 33% of the energy in oil. Diesels might be more efficient but then you have to factor in the efficiency to refine the fuel in the first place.
The calculation against hybrids is tricky in terms of efficiency but the electric-oil car is a much superior alternative because you don't have to change cars every time a new fuel comes along.
You may have your favorite fuels. I happen to like Thorium as a long term proposition. Nobody really knows how this is going to go past natural gas. We better put cars on the grid. It will take time to do it, sure.